Sunday: Thursday night is in the books. One quarterback went off; another busted. The same made-up league all week: tap an edition.
Red Zone Regulars is off to a flying start with 41.3 points already on the board
A sample edition from a made-up league: every team, player and score is invented, every number computed.
Week 11 rolls on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET, and Cover Two vs. Hut Hut Hike is the game with the most riding on it. The closest matchup on paper is Cover Two vs. Hut Hut Hike, with Cover Two a 69% favorite. Red Zone Regulars, Two-Minute Drill and Waiver Wire Warriors are all but in at 95% or better, and two teams sit between 25% and 75% to make the playoffs. At the other end, Hail Mary Hopefuls is the likeliest toilet-bowl team at 97%, ahead of Hut Hut Hike at 58%. Red Zone Regulars is projected for the week's top score, 146.8.
The matchups, by what's at stake
Cover Two: playoff odds 63% with a win, 31% with a loss. Key players: Silas Yardley (21.0) for Cover Two, Quinn Ingram (25.3) for Hut Hut Hike. Hut Hut Hike won their Week 2 meeting, 134.2-121.5.
Bench Mob: playoff odds 92% with a win, 65% with a loss. Key players: Avery Barlow (26.1) for Bench Mob, Jalen Thayer (31.3) for Play Action. Play Action won their Week 2 meeting, 148.5-130.6.
Air Raid Offense: toilet-bowl odds 25% with a win, 49% with a loss. Key players: Reid Abbott (23.2) for Air Raid Offense, Vance Lockhart (23.3) for Two-Minute Drill. Air Raid Offense won their Week 2 meeting, 127.9-109.2.
Fourth & Long: playoff odds 96% with a win, 85% with a loss. Key players: Ike Corbin (28.7) for Fourth & Long, Hollis Whitlock (22.7) for Hail Mary Hopefuls. Hail Mary Hopefuls won their Week 2 meeting, 129.1-109.1.
Red Zone Regulars: playoff odds 99% with a win, 92% with a loss. Key players: Tate Whitlock (22.8) for Waiver Wire Warriors, Silas Oakes (29.5) for Red Zone Regulars. Waiver Wire Warriors won their Week 2 meeting, 128.9-103.5.
Things to watch
- Fast start: Red Zone Regulars. 41.3 points already on the board, on pace for 146.8.
- Closest on paper: Cover Two vs. Hut Hut Hike. Cover Two is a 69% favorite, 129.6 to 115.4 projected.
- Biggest mismatch: Fourth & Long vs. Hail Mary Hopefuls. Fourth & Long is projected 26.9 points better.
- Rematch: Air Raid Offense vs. Two-Minute Drill. Air Raid Offense won the Week 2 meeting, 127.9-109.2.
Week 10 in review
- Top score: Hail Mary Hopefuls, 142.7.
- Lowest score: Play Action, 65.7.
- Closest finish: Waiver Wire Warriors over Air Raid Offense, 96.6-94.2.
- Biggest blowout: Fourth & Long over Play Action, 122.2-65.7.
- Best losing score: Bench Mob, 127.2. The week's 3rd-highest score, and still a loss.
Players to watch
Each team's top projected starter this week.
| TEAM | PLAYER | POS | PROJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Play Action | Jalen Thayer | QB | 31.3 |
| Red Zone Regulars | Silas Oakes | QB | 29.5 |
| Fourth & Long | Ike Corbin | QB | 28.7 |
| Bench Mob | Avery Barlow | QB | 26.1 |
| Hut Hut Hike | Quinn Ingram | QB | 25.3 |
| Two-Minute Drill | Vance Lockhart | RB | 23.3 |
| Air Raid Offense | Reid Abbott | QB | 23.2 |
| Waiver Wire Warriors | Tate Whitlock | QB | 22.8 |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | Hollis Whitlock | QB | 22.7 |
| Cover Two | Silas Yardley | QB | 21.0 |
Standings
Through Week 10. Points for and against count head-to-head games; the streak is the current run of head-to-head results.
| TEAM | W-L | PF | PA | STREAK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waiver Wire Warriors | 16-4 | 1211.4 | 1041.8 | W6 |
| Two-Minute Drill | 14-6 | 1283.2 | 1202.5 | W4 |
| Red Zone Regulars | 12-8 | 1210.1 | 1163.9 | W2 |
| Fourth & Long | 11-9 | 1287.0 | 1117.3 | W1 |
| Bench Mob | 11-9 | 1177.7 | 1249.8 | L1 |
| Play Action | 10-10 | 1126.8 | 1143.4 | L1 |
| Cover Two | 8-12 | 1190.4 | 1204.6 | L3 |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | 6-14 | 1060.5 | 1167.0 | W1 |
| Air Raid Offense | 6-14 | 1052.2 | 1141.4 | L2 |
| Hut Hut Hike | 6-14 | 1026.9 | 1194.5 | L5 |
The top-5 race
The top 5 scores this week each earn an extra win. Projected scores and each team's chance.
| TEAM | PROJ | TOP-5 ODDS |
|---|---|---|
| Red Zone Regulars | 146.8 | 93% |
| Two-Minute Drill | 141.4 | 85% |
| Cover Two | 129.6 | 67% |
| Waiver Wire Warriors | 125.7 | 59% |
| Fourth & Long | 123.2 | 53% |
| Bench Mob | 119.0 | 44% |
| Air Raid Offense | 118.0 | 42% |
| Hut Hut Hike | 115.4 | 39% |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | 96.3 | 10% |
| Play Action | 96.0 | 9% |
Playoff chances
Each team's chance today (the tick) and after this week: lose both, split, or win both (head-to-head and lib win).
Show as a table
| TEAM | TODAY | AFTER 0-2 | AFTER 1-1 | AFTER 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Minute Drill | >99% | >99% | >99% | >99% |
| Waiver Wire Warriors | >99% | >99% | >99% | >99% |
| Red Zone Regulars | 98% | 85% | 95% | 99% |
| Fourth & Long | 94% | 84% | 93% | 98% |
| Bench Mob | 86% | 64% | 87% | 96% |
| Play Action | 67% | 61% | 83% | 94% |
| Cover Two | 53% | 25% | 44% | 66% |
| Air Raid Offense | 1% | <1% | 2% | 5% |
| Hut Hut Hike | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Playoffs or toilet bowl
Where each team's season ends up: the top 6 make the playoffs, the bottom 2 play in the toilet bowl.
Show as a table
| TEAM | PLAYOFFS | NEITHER | TOILET BOWL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Hut Hut Hike | 1% | 41% | 58% |
| Air Raid Offense | 1% | 55% | 44% |
| Cover Two | 53% | 46% | 1% |
| Play Action | 67% | 33% | <1% |
| Bench Mob | 86% | 14% | <1% |
| Fourth & Long | 94% | 6% | <1% |
| Red Zone Regulars | 98% | 2% | <1% |
| Two-Minute Drill | >99% | <1% | <1% |
| Waiver Wire Warriors | >99% | <1% | <1% |
Every number here is computed, not written by AI: 10,000 simulated seasons from each team's best projected lineup, calibrated against real results. Odds may not add to 100% because of rounding.