Thursday: the week ahead, before anyone has played. The same made-up league all week: tap an edition.
One win from the playoffs: Play Action can clinch against Bench Mob
A sample edition from a made-up league: every team, player and score is invented, every number computed.
Week 11 kicks off Thursday at 8:15 PM ET, and Cover Two vs. Hut Hut Hike is the game with the most riding on it. The closest matchup on paper is Bench Mob vs. Play Action, with Play Action a 62% favorite. Fourth & Long, Play Action, Red Zone Regulars, Two-Minute Drill and Waiver Wire Warriors are all but in at 95% or better, and one team sits between 25% and 75% to make the playoffs. Two-Minute Drill is projected for the week's top score, 141.4.
The matchups, by what's at stake
Cover Two: playoff odds 82% with a win, 48% with a loss. Key players: Silas Yardley (21.0) for Cover Two, Quinn Ingram (25.3) for Hut Hut Hike. Hut Hut Hike won their Week 2 meeting, 134.2-121.5.
Air Raid Offense: playoff odds 38% with a win, 12% with a loss. Key players: Reid Abbott (23.2) for Air Raid Offense, Vance Lockhart (23.3) for Two-Minute Drill. Air Raid Offense won their Week 2 meeting, 127.9-109.2.
Bench Mob: playoff odds 25% with a win, 6% with a loss. Key players: Avery Barlow (26.1) for Bench Mob, Jalen Thayer (31.3) for Play Action. Play Action won their Week 2 meeting, 148.5-130.6.
Red Zone Regulars: playoff odds >99% with a win, 93% with a loss. Key players: Tate Whitlock (22.8) for Waiver Wire Warriors, Silas Oakes (29.5) for Red Zone Regulars. Waiver Wire Warriors won their Week 2 meeting, 128.9-103.5.
Fourth & Long: playoff odds >99% with a win, 98% with a loss. Key players: Ike Corbin (28.7) for Fourth & Long, Hollis Whitlock (22.7) for Hail Mary Hopefuls. Hail Mary Hopefuls won their Week 2 meeting, 129.1-109.1.
Things to watch
- Closest on paper: Bench Mob vs. Play Action. Play Action is a 62% favorite, 119.0 to 127.0 projected.
- Biggest mismatch: Fourth & Long vs. Hail Mary Hopefuls. Fourth & Long is projected 26.9 points better.
- Highest projected total: Air Raid Offense vs. Two-Minute Drill. 259.4 points between them.
- Rematch: Cover Two vs. Hut Hut Hike. Hut Hut Hike won the Week 2 meeting, 134.2-121.5.
- Streak on the line: Waiver Wire Warriors. Six straight winning weeks, against Red Zone Regulars.
Week 10 in review
- Top score: Hail Mary Hopefuls, 142.7.
- Lowest score: Play Action, 65.7.
- Closest finish: Waiver Wire Warriors over Air Raid Offense, 96.6-94.2.
- Biggest blowout: Fourth & Long over Play Action, 122.2-65.7.
- Best losing score: Bench Mob, 127.2. The week's 3rd-highest score, and still a loss.
Players to watch
Each team's top projected starter this week.
| TEAM | PLAYER | POS | PROJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Play Action | Jalen Thayer | QB | 31.3 |
| Red Zone Regulars | Silas Oakes | QB | 29.5 |
| Fourth & Long | Ike Corbin | QB | 28.7 |
| Bench Mob | Avery Barlow | QB | 26.1 |
| Hut Hut Hike | Quinn Ingram | QB | 25.3 |
| Two-Minute Drill | Vance Lockhart | RB | 23.3 |
| Air Raid Offense | Reid Abbott | QB | 23.2 |
| Waiver Wire Warriors | Tate Whitlock | QB | 22.8 |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | Hollis Whitlock | QB | 22.7 |
| Cover Two | Silas Yardley | QB | 21.0 |
Standings
Through Week 10. Points for and against count head-to-head games; the streak is the current run of head-to-head results.
| TEAM | W-L | PF | PA | STREAK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waiver Wire Warriors | 9-1 | 1211.4 | 1041.8 | W6 |
| Fourth & Long | 6-4 | 1287.0 | 1117.3 | W1 |
| Two-Minute Drill | 6-4 | 1283.2 | 1202.5 | W4 |
| Red Zone Regulars | 6-4 | 1210.1 | 1163.9 | W2 |
| Play Action | 6-4 | 1126.8 | 1143.4 | L1 |
| Cover Two | 4-6 | 1190.4 | 1204.6 | L3 |
| Air Raid Offense | 4-6 | 1052.2 | 1141.4 | L2 |
| Bench Mob | 3-7 | 1177.7 | 1249.8 | L1 |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | 3-7 | 1060.5 | 1167.0 | W1 |
| Hut Hut Hike | 3-7 | 1026.9 | 1194.5 | L5 |
Playoff odds
Each team's chance, and what this week's result does to it.
| TEAM | PLAYOFFS | WIN / LOSS |
|---|---|---|
| Waiver Wire Warriors | >99% | >99% / >99% |
| Two-Minute Drill | >99% | >99% / >99% |
| Fourth & Long | >99% | >99% / 98% |
| Play Action | 98% | >99% / 96% |
| Red Zone Regulars | 95% | >99% / 93% |
| Cover Two | 71% | 82% / 48% |
| Air Raid Offense | 17% | 38% / 12% |
| Bench Mob | 13% | 25% / 6% |
| Hut Hut Hike | 5% | 15% / <1% |
| Hail Mary Hopefuls | <1% | <1% / <1% |
Every number here is computed, not written by AI: 10,000 simulated seasons from each team's best projected lineup, calibrated against real results. Odds may not add to 100% because of rounding.